"A belief that the price slowdown
will lead to a price drop could become a self-fulfilling prophecy, experts said."
"Many who are struggling to afford
a home in California would welcome a significant price drop, if it wasn’t
accompanied by an economic collapse. But experts say such a prospect is
unlikely, given that homes don’t appear to be in oversupply. The state has a
well-documented housing shortage."
"Other factors argue against a crash. The California economy is still
posting robust job growth,despite the shadow of a trade
war with China, which has become a big market for goods produced in the
state. Whereas last decade’s housing boom and bust were driven by questionable
lending, loan standards are much tighter today. And as much as prices have
risen, the jump hasn’t been as sharp as it was in the early to mid-2000s.
“We don’t have a debt problem. We
don’t have an overbuilding problem. We don’t have an economic problem — prices
are not going to fall,” said Christopher Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon
Economics, who called last decade’s housing crash".
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